FARIMA with stable innovations model of Great Salt Lake elevation time series

A characterization of ARMA and Fractional ARIMA models with infinitely divisible innovations

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and fractional autoregressive integrated moving-average (FARIMA) models are analyzed. As examples of infinitely divisible innovations, the class of radially absolu...

The Modeling and Prediction of Great Salt Lake Elevation Time Series Based on Arfima

The elevation of Great Salt Lake (GSL) has a great impact on the people of Utah. The flood of GSL in 1982 has caused a loss of millions of dollars. Therefore, it is very important to predict the GSL levels as precisely as possible. This paper points out the reason why conventional methods failed to describe adequately the rise and fall of the GSL levels – the long-range dependence (LRD) propert...

Crustal loading near Great Salt Lake, Utah

[1] Two sites of the BARGEN GPS network are located 30 km south of Great Salt Lake (GSL). Lake-level records since mid-1996 indicate seasonal water elevation variations of 0.3 m amplitude superimposed on a roughly ‘‘decadal’’ feature of amplitude 0.6 m. Using an elastic Green’s function and a simplified load geometry for GSL, we calculate that these variations translate into radial crustal load...

How Do Changes to the Railroad Causeway in Utah’s Great Salt Lake Affect Water and Salt Flow?

Managing terminal lake elevation and salinity are emerging problems worldwide. We contribute to terminal lake management research by quantitatively assessing water and salt flow for Utah's Great Salt Lake. In 1959, Union Pacific Railroad constructed a rock-filled causeway across the Great Salt Lake, separating the lake into a north and south arm. Flow between the two arms was limited to two 4.6...

Great Salt Lake Past and Present: Elevation and Salinity Changes to Utah's Great Salt Lake from Railroad Causeway Alterations